Though thousands of California voters have already cast their recall ballot, today is the official election day in the Golden State. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) is standing for a recall election after more than 2.2 million people submitted petition signatures to force a pre-election confirmation vote. Late polling has turned in the Governor’s favor. The latest Emerson College poll, released yesterday, (9/10-11; 1,000 CA likely voters; live interview, text, and online) finds Mr. Newsom winning the recall election (meaning the No vote on the recall question) in a 60-40% spread.
Virtually all polling also shows, as does Emerson, that conservative commentator Larry Elder continues to lead the replacement vote. In the survey, he tops Democratic realtor Kevin Paffrath and ice skating coach John Drake (D) who both pull 6% support. Former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer (R) then trails with 4%. A total of 46 candidates are on the ballot. If the No position wins on the recall question as expected, all of the replacement candidate votes become moot.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.