The 22nd District in Texas, just south and southwest of Houston, is a traditionally Republican seat that has now become the most ethnically diverse CD in the United States. With Rep. Pete Olson (R-Sugar Land) retiring, the open seat race is between 2018 Democratic nominee Sri Preston Kulkarni and Ft. Bend County Sheriff Troy Nehls (R). The contest draws a toss-up rating, but one that has not attracted much polling attention.
Democratic pollster GBAO went into the field during the October 8-11 period and interviewed 500 TX-22 likely voters. They find that Mr. Kulkarni holds a five-point, 48-43% lead in a race where he dominates the money war. Waiting to see the September 30th financial disclosure report, Mr. Kulkarni had already raised $2.5 million through the June 30th period. Sheriff Nehls is not a strong fundraiser. His September 30th report is published, and his total campaign receipts line only shows $517,000 with less than $30,000 cash-on-hand. Such numbers suggest that Nehls will not be competitive in the final days, making Mr. Kulkarni the favorite to convert this seat.
The Rundown Blog
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