Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research went into the field to test the Texas Senate race (5/29-6/5; released 6/14; 1,000 TX likely voters) and their data reinforced other released polls within the same time period. According to GQR, Sen. Ted Cruz (R) has a 49-43% lead over Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso). Though the Cruz advantage continues to languish in single-digits, the Senator’s early standing isn’t particularly unusual for a Texas Republican statewide candidate facing a credible and active opponent. Republicans tend to under-poll in the state, and generally elsewhere in the South. The voting history suggests Sen. Cruz’s actual final margin will be more substantial, in the 10-14 point range.
The Rundown Blog
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