The TelOpinion Research firm released their independent Republican primary poll of New York’s 27th District primary featuring indicted incumbent Chris Collins (R-Clarence/Batavia). The survey (7/31-8/1; 500 NY-27 likely Republican primary voters) finds the Congressman in relatively strong position if he were to seek re-nomination. Currently, he is scheduled to stand trial on insider trading charges in February but promises a re-election decision prior to the beginning of legal proceedings.
According to the poll results, Rep. Collins commands 46% support as compared to state Sen. Christopher Jacobs’ (R-Buffalo) 26% with attorney Beth Parlato recording 4% support. The strongest Republican appears to be Medal of Honor winner David Bellavia. He challenged Rep. Collins in the 2018 GOP primary but so far has not expressed interest in running again. If Rep. Collins decides not to run, Mr. Bellavia would have a 41-27-6% advantage over Sen. Jacobs and Ms. Parlato.
Other Republicans, such as Erie County Comptroller Stefan I. Mychajliw Jr., Assemblyman Stephen Hawley of Genesee County, and state Sen. Robert Ortt R- North Tonawanda) are potential candidates particularly if the seat opens. The general election was extremely tight last year, as Mr. Collins nipped Democrat Nate McMurray, 47.8-47.2%. Mr. McMurray, a Grand Island Town Supervisor, has already announced his 2020 candidacy.
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