Democratic former state Sen. Cal Cunningham has been leading North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis (R) in the polls for months. An extra-marital affair becoming public may be reining Cunningham in, however. We still see a large swing between various surveys, but two pollsters are clearly showing a narrowing of his earlier lead; down from the 11, 10, and 10-point margins that Data for Progress, Survey USA, and RMG Research posted earlier in the month.
The Civiqs organization, polling for the Daily Kos Elections site (10/11-14; 1,211 NC likely voters; online) projects Mr. Cunningham to a six-point, 51-45%, advantage. Emerson College (10/13-14; 711 NC likely voters; interactive voice response system), however, sees a much tighter affair. Their ballot test result is a bare 45-44%, again in Cunningham’s favor.
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