A lot of news coverage has been generated about which member of the Conyers family will succeed resigned Rep. John Conyers (D-Detroit) in Michigan’s now vacant 13th Congressional District.
According to a just-released district survey from Target Insyght (7/16-18; 600 MI-13 likely Democratic special election and primary voters), however, it doesn’t appear that state Sen. Ian Conyers (D-Detroit) is well positioned to win the Democratic nomination, which is tantamount to general election victory in this center-city district. The former Congressman’s son, John Conyers III, failed to qualify for the primary ballot and is, instead, entering the general election as an Independent. Doing so means his chances of winning the seat his father held since 1965 are minimal at best.
According to the TI data, a very tight three-way race is evolving for the party primary. Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones has a slight 21-20-19% lead over Westland Mayor Bill Wild and former state Rep. Rashida Tlaib. State Sen. Coleman Young II, son of the former Detroit Mayor, is next with 14%, while Ian Conyers trails badly at 8 percent. The Michigan primary is scheduled for August 7th. It is likely that one individual will win both the Democratic regular and concurrent special election primaries, meaning that further elections will be a mere formality.
The Rundown Blog
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