The October 12th jungle primary election day is this Saturday, and the candidates are making a final dash to the finish line. Two new polls find the race hasn’t changed much. The data suggests that Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) is hovering around the 50% mark, but no poll shows him winning majority support. Doing so would elect him outright to a second term. If no one reaches 50% a run-off election will be held November 16th.
Both JMC Enterprises and Mason-Dixon Research & Strategy are returning new numbers from the polling field. JMC (10/2-5; 600 LA likely primary voters) sees Gov. Edwards at 47% support followed by developer Eddie Rispone with 22% and US Rep. Ralph Abraham (R-Alto/Monroe) obtaining 19% preference. Mason-Dixon sees similar results. Their poll (10/1-4; 625 LA likely primary voters) projects Gov. Edwards with 45%, Rispone recording an identical 22% as found in the JMC data, and Rep. Abraham dropping to 17% support.
M-D tested potential run-offs featuring Gov. Edwards with both Rispone and Abraham. Against the businessman, Gov. Edwards would lead 51-42%. If Rep. Abraham were his general run-off opponent, Mr. Edwards’ advantage grows to 51-38%. The big question for Saturday is whether the Governor will exceed the 50% plateau. If not, the ensuing run-off election has the potential of becoming quite interesting.
The Rundown Blog
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