Democrats believe they have upset chances in the adjoining Florida 15th and 16th Congressional Districts, which are normally safe Republican seats. Two new polls find the Republican nominees both hovering in comfortable position, however.
In the open 15th CD (Rep. Dennis Ross (R-Lakeland) retiring), Republican state Senator Ross Spano has developed a 46-39% advantage over Democratic nominee Kristen Carlson, this according to a WPA Intelligence poll (10/3-4; 418 FL-15 likely voters). The Republicans also do well on the generic vote question, meaning voters choosing the party to control the House of Representatives. Here, the GOP has a four-point positive margin, leading 48-44%.
In the Sarasota anchored 16th CD, Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) has a ten-point, 52-42% margin over attorney David Shapiro (D), despite large expenditures on behalf of the Democrat. This data comes from the Public Opinion Strategies firm (10/4-7; 400 FL-16 likely voters) surveying for the Buchanan campaign.
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