A new Tulchin Research survey (7/17-23; 400 CA-50 likely voters) tested Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Alpine/San Diego) opposite the poll sponsor and Democratic nominee Ammar Campa-Najjar. Because the FBI is investigating congressman Hunter, and has been for well over a year, there is a sense of potential vulnerability surrounding the three-term southern California Congressman despite the 50th District being safely Republican.
According to the Tulchin data, Mr. Hunter leads Campa-Najjar, 51-42%, well beyond the margin of error. Such could obviously change, and particularly so if actual charges are filed against him for campaign finance violations. Without legal problems, this poll suggests that Congressman Hunter will again be re-elected in this seat that his father, Rep. Duncan L. Hunter (R-Coronado), held for 28 years. The 50th District covers much of the San Diego County rural and agricultural region along with a sliver of Riverside County. President Trump scored a 55-40% victory here in 2016, making this his third best California district.
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